【what is wrong with renovare】Should You Be Concerned With Standex International Corporation’s (NYSE:SXI) -15% Earnings Drop?
时间:2024-09-29 08:18:00 出处:Entertainment阅读(143)
For long term investors,what is wrong with renovare improvement in profitability and outperformance against the industry can be important characteristics in a stock. In this article, I will take a look at Standex International Corporation’s (
NYSE:SXI
) track record on a high level, to give you some insight into how the company has been performing against its historical trend and its industry peers.
Check out our latest analysis for Standex International
How Well Did SXI Perform?
SXI’s trailing twelve-month earnings (from 30 September 2018) of US$38m has declined by -15% compared to the previous year.
Furthermore, this one-year growth rate has been lower than its average earnings growth rate over the past 5 years of -5.3%, indicating the rate at which SXI is growing has slowed down. What could be happening here? Well, let’s look at what’s transpiring with margins and if the rest of the industry is experiencing the hit as well.
NYSE:SXI Income Statement Export January 2nd 19
In terms of returns from investment, Standex International has fallen short of achieving a 20% return on equity (ROE), recording 8.3% instead. Furthermore, its return on assets (ROA) of 4.6% is below the US Machinery industry of 6.7%, indicating Standex International’s are utilized less efficiently. And finally, its return on capital (ROC), which also accounts for Standex International’s debt level, has declined over the past 3 years from 16% to 11%. This correlates with an increase in debt holding, with debt-to-equity ratio rising from 17% to 65% over the past 5 years.
What does this mean?
Standex International’s track record can be a valuable insight into its earnings performance, but it certainly doesn’t tell the whole story. Typically companies that face an extended period of decline in earnings are undergoing some sort of reinvestment phase with the aim of keeping up with the recent industry disruption and expansion. You should continue to research Standex International to get a better picture of the stock by looking at:
Future Outlook
: What are well-informed industry analysts predicting for SXI’s future growth? Take a look at our
free research report of analyst consensus
for SXI’s outlook.
Financial Health
: Are SXI’s operations financially sustainable? Balance sheets can be hard to analyze, which is why we’ve done it for you. Check out our
financial health checks here
.
Other High-Performing Stocks
: Are there other stocks that provide better prospects with proven track records? Explore our
free list of these great stocks here
.
NB: Figures in this article are calculated using data from the trailing twelve months from 30 September 2018. This may not be consistent with full year annual report figures.
To help readers see past the short term volatility of the financial market, we aim to bring you a long-term focused research analysis purely driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis does not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements.
The author is an independent contributor and at the time of publication had no position in the stocks mentioned. For errors that warrant correction please contact the editor at
.
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As shown below, the results in the quarter materially changed the trend in two-year stacked comps for each of the banners, along with a significant acceleration for consolidated comps.
The increase in consolidated comps was the primary driver of an 8% increase in revenues to $6.3 billion. The company ended the quarter with 15,370 locations, up less than 1% year-over-year. This reflects a 7% increase in Dollar Tree units, offset by a 4% decline in Family Dollar units.
The top-line results at each banner flowed through to their respective income statements, with Dollar Tree gross margins and operating margins declining year-over-year while Family Dollar gross margins and operating margins expanded year-over-year. On a consolidated basis, gross margins contracted by 120 basis points in the quarter to 28.5%, reflective of a shift to lower-margin consumables, tariff costs and the impact of markdowns from the Easter headwinds at the Dollar Tree banner. The company saw slight operating leverage on SG&A from higher comps, with the net result being an 80 basis point contraction in operating margins to 5.8%, with operating income declining 5% to $366 million. This is not adjusted for $73 million of pandemic-related costs, such as PPE supplies.
In the first quarter, the company opened 85 stores (net of closures) and completed 220 Family Dollar renovations to the H2 format. Importantly, comps at renovated Family Dollar stores continue to outpace the chain average by more than 10%. On the call, management indicated that they plan on reducing both the number of new store openings (from 550 to 500) and the number of H2 renovations (from 1,250 to 750) in 2020.
Personally, given the fact that Family Dollar is seeing material benefits to its business from the pandemic with new or lapsed customers coming into its stores, I think the company should try to get more aggressive with its renovation plans, not less. On the other hand, you could argue that renovations cause short-term disruptions and limit their ability to fully capitalize on the business momentum they are currently experiencing.
As a result of fewer new stores and remodels, management now expects 2020 capital expenditures to total $1.0 billion compared to previous guidance of $1.2 billion. In addition, the company has temporarily suspended share repurchases. At quarter's end, the company had $1.8 billion in cash on its balance sheet compared to $4.3 billion in total debt.
Conclusion
In recent years, Dollar Tree has been a tale of two cities. While its namesake banner has generally delivered impressive financial results, Family Dollar has been a persistent underperformer. This quarter, those results flipped, and given what we've seen in the weeks since quarter's end, there's a decent possibility that we will see something similar in the coming months. As the CEO noted, the second quarter is off to a very good start at Family Dollar.
Here's the important question: how useful is that information is in terms of making future predictions about the business? Will recent success at Family Dollar translate into long-term success for the banner? The optimistic take is that new or lapsed customers, especially those visiting the renovated stores, could become recurring business for the banner. The pessimistic take is that they have experienced short-term success out of necessity as people went to any store that was open to try and find essentials like toilet paper and hand sanitizer that were largely out of stock throughout the retail landscape. From that view, many of these customers could abandon the retailer when life returns to normal. As Philbin noted on the conference call, early on [during the pandemic], folks needed us. Will people still shop as much at Family Dollar when it's no longer a necessity?
Personally, I do not place too much weight on the recent results. I will need to see incremental data points that indicate that Family Dollar has truly won sustained business from these new customers. While I still believe that the Dollar Tree banner is a well-positioned retailer with attractive unit returns, I'm not yet willing to say the same thing for Family Dollar. For that reason, along with the recent run-up in the stock price, I plan on staying on the sidelines for now.
Disclosure: None
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